|
Total acres (owned and
rented) |
Gross annual farm sales |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Age |
US regions |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
Annual crop |
Over 2,000
acres |
1,999-1,500
acres |
1,499-1,000
acres |
999-500
acres |
499-300
acres |
Under 300
acres |
No acres |
Average |
||||
|
|
----------Percent---------- |
Acres |
||||||||||
|
Corn |
4.5 |
16.3 |
42.3 |
7.9 |
6.9 |
2.9 |
19.3 |
1021 |
||||
|
Sorghum |
1.1 |
1.5 |
3.0 |
5.1 |
8.3 |
6.6 |
74.5 |
177 |
||||
|
Soybeans |
2.9 |
10.9 |
34.2 |
14.4 |
9.9 |
4.6 |
23.1 |
850 |
||||
|
Wheat |
9.1 |
14.7 |
16.3 |
8.0 |
13.3 |
12.4 |
26.2 |
827 |
||||
|
Cotton |
2.2 |
3.7 |
4.7 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
87.0 |
193 |
||||
|
Rice |
0.4 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
94.6 |
67 |
||||
|
Hay |
5.2 |
3.1 |
5.4 |
7.1 |
14.9 |
21.3 |
42.9 |
404 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
Do you have any livestock in your operation? |
||||||||||||
|
Yes |
56 |
No |
44 |
|||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
|
Total acres (owned and
rented) |
Gross annual farm sales |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Age |
US regions |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
Attitudes |
Non-Users |
Users |
t-test |
Sig.
(2-tailed) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
I
like “playing it safe” |
6.42 |
6.16 |
2.058 |
0.04 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
I
am willing to take higher financial risks |
6.34 |
6.68 |
-2.766 |
0.01 |
|
in
order to realize higher average yields |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
I
like taking big financial risks |
3.32 |
3.67 |
-2.460 |
0.01 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
I
am willing to take higher financial risks |
5.48 |
5.93 |
-3.408 |
0.00 |
|
when
selling my crops, in order to realize |
|
|
|
|
|
higher
average returns |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
I
accept more risk in my farm business |
4.62 |
4.99 |
-2.529 |
0.01 |
|
than
other farmers |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note: Mean scores are based on a 1 to 9 scale with 1=Strongly disagree, and 9=Strongly agree, MAS stands for
market advisory service.
|
Source |
Mean* |
Source |
Mean* |
|
|
|
|
|
|
·
Satellite
systems |
8.17 |
·
Radio |
5.73 |
|
·
USDA reports |
6.92 |
·
University
Extension service |
5.46 |
|
·
Market advisory
services |
6.88 |
·
Internet |
4.81 |
|
·
Local elevator |
6.25 |
·
Television |
4.23 |
|
·
Farm
magazines/newsletters |
5.94 |
·
Marketing clubs |
4.21 |
*Based on a 1 to 9 scale with 1=do not rely on, 9=rely heavily on.
|
Market
Advisory Service |
Ever Used |
|
Familiarity |
|
Marketing
Style |
|
Satisfaction |
|
|
|
Percent* |
Rank |
Mean** |
Rank |
Mean*** |
Rank |
Mean**** |
Rank |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AgLine by Doane |
35 |
3 |
4.22 |
3 |
4.72 |
10 |
5.75 |
6 |
|
AgriVisor Services Inc. |
17 |
8 |
3.15 |
8 |
5.00 |
9 |
5.14 |
10 |
|
Brock Associates |
37 |
2 |
4.87 |
2 |
6.17 |
1 |
6.24 |
4 |
|
Freese-Notis Weather |
20 |
7 |
3.59 |
5 |
5.76 |
5 |
5.45 |
8 |
|
ProFarmer |
69 |
1 |
6.34 |
1 |
5.80 |
4 |
6.26 |
3 |
|
AgResource Company |
23 |
6 |
3.50 |
6 |
6.01 |
2 |
6.58 |
2 |
|
Allendale Inc. |
26 |
4 |
3.86 |
4 |
5.97 |
3 |
5.98 |
5 |
|
CommStock Investments Inc. |
10 |
9 |
2.61 |
10 |
5.57 |
7 |
7.07 |
1 |
|
Brent Harris Elliot Wave |
10 |
10 |
2.64 |
9 |
5.61 |
6 |
5.29 |
9 |
|
Stewart-Peterson |
26 |
5 |
3.21 |
7 |
5.27 |
8 |
5.67 |
7 |
|
Another MAS |
47 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Do not use MAS at all |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*Describes a percentage of all producers that have ever used a specific MAS.
**Based on a 1 to 9 scale with
1=not at all familiar, 9=very familiar. Includes responses of all
producers.
***Based on a 1 to 9 scale with 1=conservative, 9=aggressive. Includes responses of all producers.
****Based on a 1 to 9 scale with 1=very dissatisfied, 9=very satisfied. Includes responses of producers that have tried a particular MAS.
*****Producers who have tried a particular MAS switched MAS once every listed number of years.
MAS stands for market advisory service.
|
|
Group A |
Group B |
Group C |
F-test |
Sig. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35% |
15% |
43% |
5.937 |
0.001 |
|
|
39% |
15% |
30% |
|
|
|
Southeast |
54% |
16% |
26% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross Sales |
$575,150 |
$530,425 |
$624,425 |
4.082 |
0.017 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk Attitude* |
6.27 |
6.54 |
6.65 |
5.832 |
0.001 |
|
Tool for risk reduction |
7.09 |
6.55 |
7.01 |
3.044 |
0.028 |
|
Tool for price enhancement |
6.98 |
6.50 |
7.03 |
3.832 |
0.010 |
|
MAS is expensive |
6.10 |
6.58 |
5.60 |
13.064 |
0.000 |
|
Pleased using MAS |
6.15 |
5.82 |
6.36 |
6.413 |
0.000 |
|
MAS matches philosophy |
6.32 |
5.97 |
6.43 |
3.296 |
0.020 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note: Group A exhibits a downward-sloping, Group B an upward-sloping, and Group C a flat use of MAS, relative to crop prices.
MAS stands for market advisory services Mean scores are based on a 1to 9 scale with 1=Strongly disagree, 9=Strongly agree.
Risk attitude is a sum of the mean scores to
questions two through five listed in Table 4.
Table 8. Nature of Market Advisory Service Use.
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Do you use the specific pricing recommendations that
the market advisory services provide as background information? |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Yes |
56.5 % |
No |
43.5 % |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Do you use the specific pricing recommendations that
the market advisory services provide to compare them with other information
sources? |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Yes |
51.2 % |
No |
48.8 % |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Do you follow the specific pricing recommendations
that the market advisory services provide loosely |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Yes |
65.6 % |
No |
34.4 % |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Do you follow the specific pricing recommendations
that the market advisory services provide closely? |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Yes |
11.0 % |
No |
89.0 % |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
![]()
*Based on a 1 to 9 scale with 1=never use, 9=use extremely often.
|
|
|
Mean* |
|
Mean* |
|
|
|
|
|
|
All |
|
Close |
|
Means |
Sig. |
|
|
|
Users |
Rank |
Followers |
Rank |
t-test |
(2-tailed) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact |
5.88 |
|
8.01 |
|
17.93 |
0.00 |
|
|
Implementation |
--------------Pre-Harvest---------- |
||||||
|
|
Cash forward contracts |
5.90 |
2 |
7.34 |
2 |
7.90 |
0.00 |
|
|
Sell futures |
4.89 |
5 |
6.91 |
3 |
7.87 |
0.00 |
|
|
Buy put options |
4.88 |
6 |
6.59 |
6 |
6.43 |
0.00 |
|
|
Buy call options |
4.89 |
5 |
6.68 |
5 |
6.84 |
0.00 |
|
|
Buy futures |
4.53 |
9 |
6.50 |
7 |
6.94 |
0.00 |
|
|
|
-------------Post-Harvest---------- |
|||||
|
|
Sell in cash market |
6.50 |
1 |
7.60 |
1 |
6.61 |
0.00 |
|
|
Sell futures |
4.92 |
4 |
6.84 |
4 |
7.47 |
0.00 |
|
|
Buy put options |
4.75 |
7 |
6.42 |
9 |
6.04 |
0.00 |
|
|
Buy call options |
4.95 |
3 |
6.68 |
5 |
6.41 |
0.00 |
|
|
Buy futures |
4.64 |
8 |
6.49 |
8 |
6.48 |
0.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*Based on a 1 to 9 scale with 1=no impact at all, 9=great impact for “Impact”, and 1=would not implement at all, 9=implement exactly for “Implementation.”
|
Process |
Mean* |
Method |
Mean* |
Tools |
Mean* |
|
Daily updates of recommendations |
6.52 |
Use of fundamental analysis |
6.36 |
Recommendations include futures and options |
5.98 |
|
Consistent recommendations |
6.35 |
Specialist regarding particular crops |
6.15 |
Recommendations use only cash |
4.94 |
|
Recommendations focused on your farm operation circumstances |
6.05 |
Use of technical analysis |
6.03 |
High frequency of use of futures and options strategies |
4.82 |
|
The fact that the market advisory service tries to establish a relationship |
5.83 |
Analysis based on group consensus |
5.76 |
Low frequency of use of futures and options |
4.78 |
|
Presentation mainly with text |
5.18 |
Analysis based on the knowledge of one person |
4.32 |
|
|
|
Presentation mainly with charts |
4.98 |
|
|
|
|
|
Market advisory service is also broker |
4.04 |
|
|
|
|
*Based on a
1 to 9 scale with 1=do not value at all, 9=value extremely.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Futures |
Options |
Cash Forw. |
Min. Price |
Hedge-to-arrive |
|
|
Study |
Location |
Year |
N |
|
Hedging |
Contracts |
Contracts |
Contracts |
Contracts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pre-Harvest |
|||||
|
Present study |
|
2000 |
232 |
Non-Users |
21 |
17 |
63 |
9 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
1053 |
Users |
40 |
33 |
77 |
9 |
19 |
|
|
|
Southeast |
|
117 |
Close Followers |
53 |
48 |
83 |
13 |
26 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Coble et al. |
IN, MS, NE, TX |
1999 |
1806 |
|
35 |
35 |
n/a |
71 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purdue Top |
|
2001 |
39 |
|
62 |
54 |
82 |
13 |
n/a |
|
|
Farmer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Participants |
|
1996 |
26 |
|
62 |
35 |
77 |
15 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Schroeder |
|
1996 |
55 |
|
45 |
56 |
64 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
|
et al. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Post-Harvest |
|||||
|
Present study |
|
2000 |
232 |
Non-Users |
18 |
16 |
37 |
7 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
1053 |
Users |
28 |
23 |
53 |
8 |
11 |
|
|
|
Southeast |
|
117 |
Close Followers |
40 |
35 |
54 |
7 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Coble et al. |
IN, MS, NE, TX |
1999 |
1806 |
|
34 |
n/a |
70 |
n/a |
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Once |
2-5 times |
6-10 times |
11 or more |
Average |
|
|
|
Percent |
Times |
|||
|
Corn |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Present
study |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-Users |
5.6 |
52.8 |
27.3 |
14.3 |
6.2 |
|
|
Users |
6.2 |
51.2 |
31.6 |
11.1 |
6.0 |
|
|
Close
Followers |
3.2 |
55.8 |
32.6 |
8.4 |
5.5 |
|
Coble et al |
|
|
|
|
5.7 |
|
|
Goodwin
and Kastens |
|
|
|
|
4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Soybeans |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Present
study |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-Users |
8.8 |
58.8 |
23.1 |
9.4 |
4.0 |
|
|
Users |
5.9 |
60.6 |
27.0 |
6.5 |
5.0 |
|
|
Close
Followers |
3.1 |
64.6 |
25.0 |
7.3 |
4.8 |
|
Coble et al |
|
|
|
|
4.4 |
|
|
Goodwin
and Kastens |
|
|
|
|
3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wheat |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Present
study |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-Users |
23.3 |
57.4 |
14.0 |
5.4 |
3.4 |
|
|
Users |
19.3 |
63.1 |
13.8 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
|
|
Close
Followers |
22.7 |
65.2 |
9.1 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
|
Goodwin
and Kastens |
|
|
|
|
3.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cotton |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Present
study |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-Users |
44.4 |
51.9 |
3.7 |
0.0 |
2.6 |
|
|
Users |
21.8 |
64.4 |
12.6 |
1.1 |
3.5 |
|
|
Close
Followers |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Coble et al |
|
|
|
|
2.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
![]()

![]()