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| Table 32. Significance
Tests of Average Advisory Program Returns, Corn, Soybeans and 50/50 Advisory
Revenue, 1995 - 2004 Crop Years, Commercial Storage Costs and Harvest LDP for
Market Benchmarks |
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| Commodity/ |
Difference Between Average Advisory Program and
Benchmark |
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Average |
Standard |
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Two-tail |
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| Benchmark |
1995 |
1996 |
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
Difference |
Error |
t-statistic |
p-value |
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|
---¢
per bushel (harvest equivalent)--- |
---¢ per bushel (harvest equivalent)--- |
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| Corn |
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Market Benchmarks: |
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| 24-Month Average |
14 |
-2 |
-1 |
-2 |
-10 |
-7 |
-7 |
4 |
-1 |
0 |
-1 |
2 |
-0.54 |
0.60 |
-3 |
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| 20-Month Average |
-4 |
-4 |
4 |
9 |
-2 |
-2 |
-2 |
6 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
0.58 |
0.57 |
-4 |
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Farmer Benchmarks: |
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USDA Prices |
-3 |
12 |
9 |
20 |
9 |
18 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
12 |
9 |
2 |
3.99 |
0.00 |
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Market Prices |
-29 |
21 |
15 |
25 |
13 |
19 |
8 |
6 |
-1 |
35 |
11 |
6 |
2.06 |
0.07 |
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---¢
per bushel (harvest equivalent)--- |
---¢ per bushel (harvest equivalent)--- |
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| Soybeans |
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Market Benchmarks: |
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| 24-Month Average |
33 |
19 |
8 |
11 |
7 |
-5 |
-7 |
25 |
27 |
6 |
12 |
4 |
2.94 |
0.02 |
-3 |
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| 20-Month Average |
20 |
6 |
16 |
34 |
25 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
-13 |
0 |
10 |
4 |
2.31 |
0.05 |
-4 |
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Farmer Benchmarks: |
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USDA Prices |
1 |
10 |
21 |
64 |
28 |
15 |
-10 |
-17 |
-105 |
38 |
4 |
14 |
0.31 |
0.76 |
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Market Prices |
-17 |
14 |
30 |
77 |
31 |
21 |
-4 |
-16 |
-148 |
58 |
5 |
19 |
0.24 |
0.82 |
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---$
per acre (harvest equivalent)--- |
---$ per acre (harvest equivalent)--- |
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| 50/50 Revenue |
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Market Benchmarks: |
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| 24-Month Average |
15 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
-6 |
-6 |
-8 |
10 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
0.73 |
0.49 |
-3 |
-0.67 |
| 20-Month Average |
2 |
-2 |
7 |
15 |
4 |
-1 |
-1 |
8 |
-3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
1.83 |
0.10 |
-4 |
-0.56 |
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Farmer Benchmarks: |
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USDA Prices |
-1 |
11 |
11 |
30 |
14 |
18 |
1 |
-1 |
-17 |
22 |
9 |
4 |
2.01 |
0.08 |
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Market Prices |
-21 |
19 |
18 |
38 |
18 |
21 |
5 |
1 |
-29 |
48 |
12 |
7 |
1.58 |
0.15 |
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| Notes: Two stars
indicates significance at the one percent level and one star indicates
significance at the five percent level. |
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