Table 41.  Predictability of Market Advisory Program Performance Between the 1995-1999 and 2001-2004 Crop Years by Groups, Corn, Soybeans and 50/50 Revenue, Commercial Storage Costs
	Corn			Soybeans			50/50 Revenue
	Average	Average		Average	Average		Average	Average
Performance Group	Price	Price		Price	Price		Revenue	Revenue
in 1995-1998	1995-1999	2001-2004		1995-1999	2001-2004		1995-1999	2001-2004
	---$ per bushel (harvest equivalent)---			---$ per bushel (harvest equivalent)---			---$ per acre (harvest equivalent)---
Top Third	2.52	2.26		6.48	5.70		327	329
Middle Third	2.40	2.19		6.32	5.80		317	318
Bottom Third	2.33	2.11		6.15	5.66		313	316
Top Third minus Bottom Third	0.19	0.15		0.33	0.04		14	11
Top Fourth	2.57	2.26		6.54	5.77		331	329
Second Fourth	2.41	2.19		6.33	5.71		318	319
Third Fourth	2.38	2.16		6.25	5.81		315	322
Bottom Fourth	2.32	2.12		6.11	5.54		312	313
Top Fourth minus Bottom Fourth	0.26	0.14		0.44	0.23		19	15
Top Two  Programs	2.67	2.26		6.64	5.93		340	337
Bottom Two Programs	2.30	2.16		6.07	5.34		311	315
Top Two minus Bottom Two	0.37	0.10		0.57	0.58		29	22
Note: Results are shown only for the 15 advisory programs included in all 10 years of the AgMAS corn and soybean evaluations. The selection strategy consists of sorting the 15 programs by average net advisory price over 1995-1999 and forming groups of programs (thirds, fourths, top two and bottom two).  Next, the average net advisory price for each group is computed for 1995-1999. Then, the average net advisory price of the group formed over 1995-1999 is computed for 2001-2004.   Since there is only one pair of observations in each case, statistical tests cannot be applied.