Table 43.  Predictability of Market Advisory Program Performance Between the 1995-1998 and 2000-2003 Crop Years by Groups, Corn, Soybeans and 50/50 Revenue
                 
Corn Soybeans 50/50 Revenue
Average Average Average Average Average Average
Performance Group Price Price Price Price Revenue Revenue
 in 1995-1998 1995-1998 2000-2003   1995-1998 2000-2003   1995-1998 2000-2003
---$ per bushel (harvest equivalent)--- ---$ per bushel (harvest equivalent)--- ---$ per acre (harvest equivalent)---
Top Third 2.63 2.14 6.59 5.68 332 306
Middle Third 2.51 2.15 6.48 5.60 323 298
Bottom Third 2.42 2.14 6.35 5.41 316 299
  Top Third minus Bottom Third 0.21 0.00 0.24 0.27 16 7
Top Fourth 2.67 2.19 6.62 5.73 335 306
Second Fourth 2.54 2.09 6.52 5.52 325 297
Third Fourth 2.47 2.17 6.40 5.60 320 304
Bottom Fourth 2.39 2.11 6.34 5.36 315 296
  Top Fourth minus Bottom Fourth 0.28 0.07 0.28 0.37 20 9
Top Two  Programs 2.76 2.26 6.68 5.76 342 318
Bottom Two Programs  2.36 2.07 6.33 5.29 314 293
  Top Two minus Bottom Two 0.40 0.19   0.35 0.47   27 25
Note: Results are shown only for the 15 advisory programs included in all nine years of the AgMAS corn and soybean evaluations. The selection strategy consists of sorting the 15 programs by average net advisory price over 1995-1998 and forming groups of programs (thirds, fourths, top two and bottom two).  Next, the average net advisory price for each group is computed for 1995-1998. Then, the average net advisory price of the group formed over 1995-1998 is computed for 2000-2003.   Since there is only one pair of observations in each case, statistical tests cannot be applied.