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Latest farmdoc Daily Articles

Under Pressure: The Size and Timing of the Harvest Low in Corn Basis

US corn harvest-time corn basis bottoms in mid-October, coinciding with the peak of harvest activity. Average basis at the harvest-time low is about 11 cents below late-November levels. State-level lows average 16 cents, deepest in Missouri, Indiana and Illinois, and more loosely track local harvest progress. Avoiding sales at the harvest will realize gains on average over time, though futures moves and other costs may swamp basis gains.

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The 2027 Margin Coverage Option (MCO) Decision

The Margin Coverage Option (MCO) is an area-based crop insurance endorsement that provides protection against operating margin shortfalls, which can be driven by revenue decreases, cost increases or a combination…

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Illinois Cash Rents in 2026 and Outlook for 2027

The average cash rent for Illinois farmland saw a small decline for the second year in a row in 2026. Higher corn and soybean prices have improved the return outlook for both 2026 and 2027 compared to the previous three crop years, and producers are expected to receive relatively large payment from the 2025 ARC/PLC programs in the next month. However, expected returns remain below longer-term averages. This suggests farmland rental rates will likely remain relatively stable heading into 2027.

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Changing Public Perceptions of AI and Data Center Development: Results from the Gardner Food and Agricultural Policy Survey

The social, economic, and environmental impacts of data centers and artificial intelligence (AI) are increasingly important issues facing communities across the country. Although most existing data centers are in urban…

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Impact of Higher Corn Prices on Swine Finishing Feed Costs

Corn futures price for the nearby contract was approximately $4.40 per bushel at the start of 2026.  For the first week in August, corn futures price averaged $5.18.  Moreover, using…

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Conservation & Risk, Part 4: Approaching the Nitrogen Application Question

From fertilizer costs to nutrients lost, the issues and challenges of nitrogen continue for row crop agriculture. They are magnified in the moment by the conflict in Iran and the…

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