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Cover Crop Analyzer
Cover Crop Analyzer Tool

The cover crop project seeks to provide farmers with a practical web-based decision support tool designed to help manage cover crops in their fields. The project makes use of existing research to demonstrate the potential for cover crops, as well as providing useful information for decision making and management of this practice. It will also seek to apply future research on cover crops as results are incorporated into updates and new iterations of the tool. This remains a work in progress with a goal towards adapting with the science.

Latest in Gardner Policy Series

Flashback, 1979: What the Previous Cliff Might Tell Us About the Potential One Ahead

Looking back to look ahead can be a tricky task. The past offers the future lessons, and experience is a great teacher. But humans are humans after all, and knowing…

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Gardner Policy Series: Farm Bill

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The Reconciliation Farm Bill: Top Five Most Problematic Changes to Farm Policy, #4

The number four spot in the top five most problematic changes to farm policy in the Reconciliation Farm Bill belongs to possibly the most obscure change in the agriculture title. Congress provided an additional subsidy to crop insurance companies to encourage continued sales of policies in high-risk states. This article explains the policy change and offers some perspective.

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Projections of Commodity Program Payments for Illinois in 2024 and 2025

Commodity program payments for 2024 are estimated to be limited to ARC-CO in some southern and northern Illinois counties for corn and soybeans. Commodity title program payments seem more likely to occur for the 2025 commodity title program. Even with the larger payment expectations, due in part to changes to commodity programs in the OBBB Act, 2025 return prospects remain negative for cash rented farmland in Illinois. This could lead to calls for additional ad hoc support for 2025.

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The Farm Bill in Reconciliation: Loophole as Rosetta Stone; Review and Comment

As of July 4, 2025, budget reconciliation, bearing the title “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” is Public Law. Among its many provisions are revisions to the major mandatory programs of the Farm Bill, reauthorizing them through 2031. Rushed through Congress under special budget procedures and a dearth of deliberation, much about this new federal law remains confusing and dismaying. This article reviews an expanded loophole for farm program payment limitations as a potential Rosetta Stone.

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Gardner Policy Series: Trade

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Brazil Heads for a Record Soybean Harvest as Farm Margins Approach Breakeven

Brazil is heading toward another record soybean harvest in 2025-26, driven by expanded acreage and favorable yields in the country’s main producing regions. However, unlike previous seasons, when record harvests were often associated with strong profitability, this year’s crop is happening in a much more challenging economic environment. Lower soybean prices, elevated production costs, and weaker export premiums have compressed margins for Brazilian farmers – pushing profitability to its lowest level in nearly two decades and close to breakeven.

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From Infrastructure Investment to Expanded Market Access: China’s Belt and Road Initiative in Africa and the Implications for U.S. Trade Policy

China’s Belt and Road Initiative has expanded Beijing’s economic presence in Africa through infrastructure and related investments. The US, by contrast, is at an inflection point in its trade policy with Africa. The African Growth and Opportunity Act was reauthorized only through the end of 2026, and the Trump administration has indicated that any successor arrangement would place greater emphasis on expanding market access for U.S. businesses, farmers, and ranchers.

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U.S. Corn and Soybean Exports: Diversification Drives Growth in Corn and Cushions Decline in Soybeans

The U.S. agricultural export scenario has experienced a transformation in 2025, with diversification of export destinations emerging as an important factor for both the corn and soybean markets. While these two major commodities have followed different trajectories, with corn exports expanding and soybean exports contracting, both demonstrate the strategic value of diversified market portfolios rather than keeping a high dependence on a single market.

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Gardner Policy Series: Conservation & Other

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Regional Cost of Living Differences

Supply chain disruptions, market concentration, global trade shocks, and housing shortages push issues related to affordability and the cost of living to the forefront. However, these pressures are not experienced uniformly; substantial regional cost of living differences shape how households navigate their daily expenses. These disparities can influence overall well being and exacerbate economic inequality, particularly in high cost metropolitan areas.

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Farmer Demonstration Networks as a Catalyst for Conservation Adoption

Cover crop use in the Corn Belt remains low, despite significant public and private investment in efforts to support adoption. The US Department of Agriculture alone invests $6.5 billion annually into conservation programs, many of which focus entirely on support payments rather than technical support. Our results suggest that demonstration farm networks, led by real farmers trialing practices on their working farms, are an effective tool to share information with conservation-curious producers.

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Swampbuster Stands, Part 2: The Constitutionality of Conservation Compliance

“It is hardly a lack of due process for the Government to regulate that which it subsidizes” (Wickard v. Filburn, 1942). That admonition from Justice Robert Jackson, writing for a…

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